{"id":14160,"date":"2022-07-05T07:09:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-05T15:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/?p=14160"},"modified":"2022-09-09T04:20:43","modified_gmt":"2022-09-09T12:20:43","slug":"85-percent-rule","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/2022\/07\/05\/85-percent-rule\/","title":{"rendered":"The 85% Rule for Learning"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Learning, it seems, is optimized for both humans and machines when we succeed around 85% of the time. From a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-019-12552-4\">recent paper<\/a> by Wilson, Shenhav, Straccia and Cohen:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>In many situations we find that there is a sweet spot in which training is neither too easy nor too hard, and where learning progresses most quickly. [\u2026] For all of these stochastic gradient-descent based learning algorithms, we find that the optimal error rate for training is around 15.87% or, conversely, that the optimal training accuracy is about 85%.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>If you\u2019re always successful, it\u2019s hard to know what to improve. If you constantly fail, you won\u2019t learn what works. Only when we have a mixture of success and failure can we draw a contrast between good and bad strategies.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-1-1024x512.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14171\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-1-1024x512.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-1-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-1-768x384.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-1-1536x768.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-1.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>These findings agree closely with the 80% success rate found by Barak Rosenshine in his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aft.org\/sites\/default\/files\/periodicals\/Rosenshine.pdf\">study of successful classrooms<\/a>, despite coming from a completely different theoretical background:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>In a study of fourth-grade mathematics, it was found that 82 percent of students\u2019 answers were correct in the classrooms of the most successful teachers, but the least successful teachers had a success rate of only 73 percent. A high success rate during guided practice also leads to a higher success rate when students are working on problems on their own.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The research also suggests that the optimal success rate for fostering student achievement appears to be about 85 percent. A success rate of 85 percent shows that students are learning the material, and it also shows that the students are challenged.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How You Can Apply the 85% Rule<\/h2>\n<div class=\"inline-podcast\">\n<small>Listen to this article<\/small><br \/>\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"20\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"no\" allow=\"autoplay\" src=\"https:\/\/w.soundcloud.com\/player\/?url=https%3A\/\/api.soundcloud.com\/tracks\/1336289866&#038;color=%23219895&#038;inverse=false&#038;auto_play=false&#038;show_user=true\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>Imagine you\u2019re studying for a test by doing practice problems. You can apply different amounts of support to calibrate your success rate. The easiest way to solve the problems would be to do them with an open book and worked examples or solutions in front of you. The hardest way to solve the problems would be to work novel problems under test-like conditions with the book closed.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-2-1024x512.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14172\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-2-1024x512.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-2-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-2-768x384.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-2-1536x768.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-2.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>The 85% rule suggests that you should fine-tune the amount of support you use depending on the success rate you\u2019re experiencing. If you\u2019re getting more than one out of every five problems wrong, you might want to add extra help. If you\u2019re getting nearly all the problems right, it\u2019s time to up the difficulty.<\/p>\n<p>In many skills, tasks can be graded on a scale of difficulty. Piano pieces have levels assigned to the challenge they pose. Ski slopes are ranked from green to double black. Language practice can range from simple greetings to rapid-fire debate. The 85% rule suggests growth will be maximized when we practice tasks we can succeed at roughly four-fifths of the time.<\/p>\n<p>The exact percentage may vary between tasks. Reading in a foreign language likely requires understanding closer to 95% of the words to not be maddeningly frustrating. John Pasden has an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sinosplice.com\/life\/archives\/2016\/08\/25\/what-80-comprehension-feels-like\">interesting demonstration<\/a> of how varying levels of English comprehension feel.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, part of the quantitative ambiguity is that \u201csuccess\u201d can be defined in various ways. A failure to understand 20% of the words in a text isn\u2019t 80% comprehension, but closer to 10%. Similarly, if you approached skiing so that you crash 20% of the times you go down the mountain, you wouldn\u2019t make it very far without injuries.<\/p>\n<p>Still, I think the rule offers a fairly good heuristic. If you succeed in every attempt, you probably don\u2019t have the difficulty high enough to improve. If you fail most of the time, you will likely make more progress if you start picking smaller, more manageable challenges.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Explanations for the 85% Rule<\/h2>\n<p>There are many theories of optimal learning that all point to a sweet spot for difficulty\u2014not too easy, not too hard.<\/p>\n<p>Lev Vygotsky\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Zone_of_proximal_development\">zone of proximal development<\/a> argues that tasks slightly beyond what we can do by ourselves, but can do with assistance from others, maximize learning.<\/p>\n<p>Walter Kintsch\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1207\/s1532690xci0302_1\">zone of learnability<\/a> provides a similar account for text comprehension. In <a href=\"https:\/\/psycnet.apa.org\/record\/1997-03288-003\">one study<\/a>, subjects read one of two versions of a text. The first text was written to maximize understandability, with full explanations and subtitles signaling the text\u2019s organization. The second text was written without these aids, requiring students to use inferences to understand the text\u2019s meaning.<\/p>\n<p>In tests asking questions directly from the text, both high and low background knowledge students did better on the coherent text. However, when given a test that required inference or problem solving, the students with higher background knowledge did better than students with less background knowledge when interpreting the less coherent text.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-3-1024x512.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14173\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-3-1024x512.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-3-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-3-768x384.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-3-1536x768.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/85-3.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Adapted from <em>Comprehension: A Paradigm for Cognition<\/em> by Walter Kintsch<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>These results fit a model where, if a text mostly says things you easily understand, you don\u2019t invest much effort into creating a mental model of what the text describes. In those cases, greater difficulty might be beneficial since the struggle it creates forces you to retrieve background knowledge. (This only works, of course, if you have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/2022\/01\/04\/cognitive-load-theory\/\">knowledge to retrieve<\/a>!)<span id='easy-footnote-1-14160' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/2022\/07\/05\/85-percent-rule\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-14160' title='It should be noted, however, that elaborative techniques like explaining the text worked better than difficult texts. This suggests that the better strategy might be to pair a coherent text with something like the Feynman Technique, than to seek out deliberately confusing texts!'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Anders Ericsson\u2019s model of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Practice_(learning_method)#Deliberate_practice\">deliberate practice<\/a> argues that when skills become automatic, we plateau at levels of ability far below our potential. To counter this, we need to return to the deliberate phase of learning. We can do this by picking harder tasks or setting higher goals for performance.<\/p>\n<p>Robert Eisenberg\u2019s theory of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotthyoung.com\/blog\/2020\/11\/02\/motivation\/#07-05\">learned industriousness<\/a> suggests difficulty plays a role in motivation as well. In an experiment, one group of subjects was given hard puzzles to work on. Another group was carefully matched to this group, given an easy puzzle for each question the first group got right, or an impossible question for each one the first group got wrong.<\/p>\n<p>The two groups thus experienced the same success rate, but had very different expectations about the role effort played in success. For the first group, hard work often paid off. For the second group, it never did. On a subsequent puzzle task, members of the first group persisted longer than those in the second group, suggesting that they had learned to work hard at this kind of puzzle.<\/p>\n<p>Learned industriousness suggests that success on hard problems can be good for us, but failure is demotivating. Once again, a difficulty sweet spot emerges where we work on problems we\u2019re likely to succeed at, but are hard enough to encourage effort in the future.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>What skills are you working on? What\u2019s your current success rate? Should you be increasing the difficulty or finding ways to reduce frustration? Share your thoughts in the comments.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Learning, it seems, is optimized for both humans and machines when we succeed around 85% of the time. From a recent paper by Wilson, Shenhav, Straccia and Cohen: In many situations we find that there is a sweet spot in which training is neither too easy nor too hard, and where learning progresses most quickly. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-14160","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-personal-development","7":"entry"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The 85% Rule for Learning - Scott H Young<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"How often should you succeed at a task, to maximize learning? 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